Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Military Earnings Growth
Across Montana Counties
Real* Military
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Military
Earnings Growth
Montana:
2010-2022 = 1.69%
2022 = 3.15%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real military earnings growth across all of Montana's 56 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Montana Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real military earnings growth of Montana's 56 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Military
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Military
Earnings Growth
Montana:
2010-2022 = 1.69%
2022 = 3.15%
This figure displays the 56 counties of Montana as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real military earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real military earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real military earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 1.69%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 1.69% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (1.69%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 2 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 54 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 27 counties whose most recent (2022) real military earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (3.15%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 29 counties whose real military earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 56 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 1.69% over 2010-2022 and 3.15% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real military earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (1.69%) and near-term (3.15%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (1.69%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Montana average (3.15%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (1.69%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (3.15%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real military earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (1.69%) and near-term (3.15%).
   
 
Summary of Montana's 56 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(3.15%)
Above
(3.15%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(1.69%)
1
1
2
Below
(1.69%)
28
26
54
 
29
27
56
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Montana:
2010-2022 = 1.69%
2022 = 3.15%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Montana county classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Montana's average annual real military earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 1.69%) as well as near-term (2022 = 3.15%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real military earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Montana's 56 counties, just 1 (2%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Montana:
2010-2022 = 1.69%
2022 = 3.15%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 1 Montana county classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 1.69%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 3.15%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real military earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 1 (2%) of Montana's 56 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Montana:
2010-2022 = 1.69%
2022 = 3.15%
This figure shows the distribution of the 26 Montana counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 1.69%), while they outpaced Montana's average near-term (2022 = 3.15%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real military earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Montana's 56 counties, 46% (26) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Montana:
2010-2022 = 1.69%
2022 = 3.15%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 28 Montana counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real military earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 1.69%) as well as near-term (2022 = 3.15%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real military earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
50% of Montana's counties, 28 of 56, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Montana
Real* Military Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
2
3.19
 
25
3.58
353,910
Slipping Counties
 
1
12.39
 
56
-78.40
181
Gaining Counties
 
28
-1.53
 
18
4.37
1,410
 
4
0.77
 
3
8.82
1,172
 
22
-1.19
 
11
5.19
1,682
 
35
-1.75
 
26
3.46
449
 
6
-0.06
 
2
8.87
17,546
 
3
0.91
 
10
5.86
20,856
 
32
-1.60
 
19
4.13
126
 
19
-1.06
 
6
6.63
515
 
20
-1.07
 
12
5.08
1,902
 
56
-4.02
 
14
4.79
306
 
16
-0.87
 
15
4.69
4,936
 
7
-0.21
 
1
10.73
12,563
 
50
-2.72
 
17
4.44
259
 
23
-1.26
 
5
6.99
3,228
 
8
-0.43
 
8
5.93
1,394
 
17
-0.88
 
16
4.50
302
 
9
-0.46
 
7
5.97
763
 
15
-0.78
 
4
8.31
782
 
21
-1.07
 
22
3.68
2,674
 
27
-1.49
 
27
3.36
891
 
44
-2.02
 
23
3.61
258
 
12
-0.67
 
13
4.83
7,101
 
13
-0.74
 
9
5.91
2,008
 
38
-1.90
 
21
3.94
1,373
 
24
-1.36
 
24
3.58
925
 
49
-2.70
 
20
4.03
620
Lagging Counties
 
45
-2.05
 
50
0.05
1,902
 
26
-1.45
 
44
1.50
1,017
 
14
-0.77
 
53
-0.48
206
 
34
-1.73
 
38
1.95
887
 
36
-1.83
 
32
2.58
1,749
 
48
-2.40
 
52
-0.41
244
 
47
-2.24
 
41
1.85
1,269
 
30
-1.59
 
36
2.34
1,353
 
40
-1.93
 
30
2.72
1,698
 
33
-1.68
 
43
1.58
1,991
 
52
-2.92
 
46
1.46
2,301
 
41
-1.97
 
34
2.40
256
 
11
-0.67
 
55
-5.45
19,723
 
25
-1.39
 
33
2.56
80
 
42
-1.99
 
49
0.65
620
 
51
-2.76
 
29
2.78
813
 
46
-2.13
 
28
3.13
165
 
18
-0.93
 
47
1.26
1,693
 
39
-1.92
 
51
-0.06
1,563
 
54
-2.98
 
37
2.19
1,214
 
31
-1.60
 
39
1.92
530
 
5
0.02
 
40
1.87
7,182
 
43
-1.99
 
35
2.38
559
 
29
-1.54
 
31
2.65
116
 
37
-1.88
 
45
1.46
1,114
 
55
-3.46
 
42
1.64
248
 
53
-2.93
 
48
0.75
134
 
10
-0.61
 
54
-2.12
27,472
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.69
 
3.15
518,231
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.97
 
0.54
157,200,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_620200_LSGL
 
   
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